THE AVIATOR. IÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢m going to go out on a limb and predict THE AVIATOR wins Best Picture, Martin Scorsese wins Best Director, and Cate Blanchett wins Best Supporting Actress. ItÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s time to kick off awards season with rampant speculation and heated debate. IÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢m willing to get the ball rolling.
IÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢m not saying THE AVIATOR is the best picture of the year, IÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢m just saying itÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢ll win. I thought it was pretty impressive, but I havenÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢t seen SIDEWAYS, or MILLION DOLLAR BABY, or FINDING NEVERLAND, or any other of the films getting a lot of buzz and critical praise, but something tells me THE AVIATORÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s got it sewn up. It has all the elements that the Academy has proven it loves year after year. ItÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s epic in scale. ItÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s a period piece. ItÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s about Hollywood. ItÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s frickinÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢ long. (Although cleverly paced). They wonÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢t be able to resist it.
Plus, itÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s a safe, uncontroversial choice and the Academy isnÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢t known for its edgy tastes.
More importantly, itÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s ScorseseÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s most accessible film ever, arguably his best since GOODFELLAS, and has none of the extreme violence that has hurt his chances in the past. I think this is the time the Academy will see fit to award him for a career of great work. HeÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s been nominated four times already and always lost. In 1980 Scorsese was nominated for RAGING BULL and passed over in favor of Robert Redford. ORDINARY PEOPLE is a good movie, but nevertheless this was wrong. In 1990 Kevin Costner beat out ScorceseÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s GOODFELLAS with DANCES WITH WOLVES. That was an even greater travesty. (The majority of the Academy members are actors and they consistently award their own for directing a half decent film). Most recently Scorsese was beat out by Roman Polanski for directing THE PIANIST. That at least makes sense. However, I believe this is the year Scorsese finally brings home the gold.
I also see Cate Blanchett ending up with a statue in her hand. Her performance as Katherine Hepburn steals the show. Am I right? Am I wrong? Has anyone seen any other films/performances that they thinkÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢ll win any major awards?